Economic December 15, 2021

American Equity Assessment

CoreLogic just released their quarterly Home Equity Insights Report.

Their analysis shows U.S. homeowners with mortgages (roughly 63% of all properties) have seen their equity increase by a total of over $3.2 trillion since the third quarter of 2020, an increase of 31.1% year over year.

In the third quarter of 2021, the total number of mortgaged residential properties with negative equity decreased by 5.7% from the second quarter of 2021 to 1.2 million homes, or 2.1% of all mortgaged properties.

Negative equity means a home is worth less than the amount owed on the property.

In Colorado, the percentage of homes with negative equity is even lower than the National average at 1.5%.

Market Data October 30, 2021

Average Home Price Increase

It’s true, average prices have increased substantially over the last year.

Would you have guessed that Weld County has seen the largest increase along the Front Range?

The specific numbers are below.

As you look at the numbers, it is important to remember that average prices have increased because of appreciation and because there are more higher-end homes that are selling.

The increased volume of high-end transactions has played a big rule in increasing the average price.

Average Price of a Single-Family Home based on closings so far this month:

  • Metro Denver = $675,000
  • Larimer County = $624,000
  • Weld County = $514,000

Average Prices exactly one year ago:

  • Metro Denver = $614,000
  • Larimer County = $549,000
  • Weld County = $417,000
EconomicMarket Data October 20, 2021

Perspectives on Real Estate Prices

Interest Rates

Let’s put today’s home prices in perspective.

Appreciation has been significant over the last 18 months.  Some people are wondering if it can last and if there might be a housing bubble.

There are two ways to look at prices.  One way is in absolute terms.  This is simply looking at the dollar amount a home would sell for at some point in the past versus the dollar amount it would sell for now.

The other way is in real terms.  ‘Real’ is an economics term which means that inflation is factored into the valuation.

For example, a gallon of milk costs more today in absolute terms than it did 15 years ago.  However, in real terms, the cost is about the same as 15 years ago because inflation is factored in.  The price of milk has essentially escalated at the same rate as inflation.

So, how about home prices?  As we know, prices in absolute terms are higher than 15 years ago.  To be exact, prices are 43% higher Nationally compared to 2006 according to Case-Shiller.

However, in real terms, prices are the same as 2006.

Over the last 15 years, homes have appreciated at essentially the same rate as inflation.

Market Data October 18, 2019

Equity Insights

The real estate research firm Core Logic just produced their latest Homeowner Equity Insights report.

Some interesting tidbits:

·         63% of all properties nationally have a mortgage

·         Homeowners with mortgages collectively realized a $428 billion rise in equity over last year, an increase of 4.8%

·         Only 3.8% of all mortgaged properties have negative equity (where the loan is greater than the value of the home)

·         10 years ago 26% of all mortgaged properties had negative equity

 


If you want to see even more insights about the Colorado market so that you can make really good decisions about your real estate, you are welcome to watch this complimentary webinar, just click HERE.