Here’s an interesting stat based on the most recent U.S. Census.
(although you probably won’t be surprised to hear this)
Since 1990, Colorado’s rate of population growth is double the Nation’s rate of population growth.
Here are the numbers since 1990:
30.3% growth in the U.S.
62.3% growth in Colorado
So, the Nation grows at roughly 1% per year and Colorado grows at roughly 2% per year.
It appears Colorado is twice as popular as compared to the Nation as a whole.
The economic research blog called “Calculated Risk” just completed a fascinating study on home prices.
Specifically, they looked at the correlation between home price growth and inventory.
They used price data from the Case-Shiller Home Price Index and inventory data from the National Association of Realtors.
No surprise, they found that the lower the inventory the higher the home price growth. Also no surprise, as inventory goes up, price growth slows down.
This all correlates with simple economic rules of supply and demand.
The interesting part of their research is this: at a certain level of inventory, prices have the potential to go down.
That level, according to their research, is six months of inventory.
That means, prices don’t have a chance of decreasing in a market until there is at least 6 months of inventory available for sale.
To put that in perspective, today there is two weeks of inventory on the market along Colorado’s Front Range.
So, there would need to be 12 times the amount of homes for sale on the market for prices to even have a chance to go down.
Here’s some interesting research on affordability…
Each quarter the National Association of Home Builders measures affordability in hundreds of markets across the Country.
Their method is to count the number of homes in a market that could be purchased with that particular market’s median income.
For example, San Francisco is the least-affordable market where only 8.4% of the homes could be purchased with their median income.
The most-affordable is Monroe, Michigan where 95.3% of the homes could be purchased with their median income.
Guess where all of the 10 least-affordable markets are. California!
Guess where almost all of the 10 most-affordable markets are. The rust belt (cities in Michigan, Ohio, upstate New York, etc.)
The U.S. average is 63.6%.
Metro Denver comes in at 55.3% and Northern Colorado at 54.5%.
So, roughly half of the homes in our market could be purchased with our local median income.
Not true! Especially on the Front Range of Colorado.
Based on research by Chief Economist, Matthew Gardner, Millennials make up a significant percentage of all home buyers in Metro Denver and Colorado.
In Metro Denver, 50% of all buyers last year were in the Millennial demographic.
In Northern Colorado, the number is 41%.
It turns out that Millennials, as they move into their mid to late 30’s, see the value of home ownership and are at the point in their lives where it makes sense to own instead of rent.
Windermere offices throughout the Western U.S. have been busy raising money and making donations to non-profit organizations in their local communities that provide services to low-income and homeless families. And their efforts are paying off; so far this year we’ve raised over $1.5 million, bringing the total raised by the Windermere Foundation to $39.5 million since 1989.
Here is an example of how our office is giving back to our community:
Fort Collins, Colorado
The Windermere Real Estate office in Fort Collins held its 5th Annual Windermere Foundation Tailgate Party on Friday, September 20. The family-friendly event featured food, drinks, a bouncy house obstacle course, corn hole, face painting, and live music. Over $1,800 was raised for the Windermere Foundation during this event. All proceeds from the tailgate “party with a purpose” benefitted Partners Mentoring Youth and Crossroads Safehouse.
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